Two disappointing teams collide on Monday Night Football when the San Francisco 49ers visit the Green Bay Packers. This was supposed to be a must-watch contest with Jimmy Garoppolo and a surging 49ers team going up against Aaron Rodgers and a talented Packers team but with Jimmy G sidelined for the rest of the season and the Packers playing inconsistent football, this game could determine where both teams go next.
San Francisco 49ers
The San Francisco 49ers almost beat the Los Angeles Chargers in C.J. Beathard‘s first start of the season and that 29-27 loss gave fans hope. Some even expected them to be competitive without Jimmy G but last week’s 28-18 home loss against the Arizona Cardinals was a wake-up call and this team seems to be going nowhere.
Beathard completed 34 of 54 passes for 349 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions and he added seven yards and a touchdown on the ground, Alfred Morris ran for 61 yards on 18 carries and Trent Taylor made seven catches for 61 yards and one touchdown. San Francisco had 447 total yards against Arizona’s 220, they got 33 1st downs while Arizona had just 10 and they had possession of the ball for 40:12 while Arizona’s time of possession was 19:48 but it wasn’t enough because of their five turnovers.
The 49ers are averaging 241.8 passing yards (22nd in the NFL) and 136.2 rushing yards (4th). San Francisco ranks 15th with 23.6 points per game and 29th with 29.2 points against. C.J. Beathard has passed for 647 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions, Matt Breida has 369 rushing yards and one touchdown on 49 carries and George Kittle has 23 receptions for 399 yards and one touchdown. Fred Warner has 46 tackles and DeForest Buckner has 3.5 sacks.
Green Bay Packers
The Green Bay Packers could not overcome uncharacteristic mistakes by veteran kicker Mason Crosby and Aaron Rodgers, who lost two fumbles for just the third time in his 14-year career. Crosby missed a career-high four field goals in one game and an extra point to boot.
Rodgers, missing injured wide receivers Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison, was 32 of 52 for 442 yards with three touchdowns and Davante Adams caught nine passes for 140 receiving yards and one touchdown but Detroit prevailed 31-23 despite having 18 1st downs against Green Bay’s 30. The Packers had almost twice as many total yards as the Lions (521-264) but their three turnovers and Crosby’s bad day were the difference.
The Packers are averaging 299.8 passing yards (10th in the NFL) and 101.2 rushing yards (19th). Green Bay ranks 18th with 23.0 points per game and 14th with 22.8 points against. Aaron Rodgers has passed for 1572 yards, 10 touchdowns and one interception, Jamaal Williams has 195 rushing yards on 53 carries and Davante Adams has 37 receptions for 425 yards and four touchdowns. Blake Martinez has 39 tackles and three sacks and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix has three interceptions.
The San Francisco 49ers are:
3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against NFC opponents
2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game
1-4 ATS in their last five games overall
2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in October
4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 meetings with the Packers
1-4-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Green Bay
The Green Bay Packers are:
5-1 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a losing road record
19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 games in October
This spread may seem difficult to cover but the Packers already covered a large spread in their 22-0 home win against the Bills in Week 4 and this game could head in that direction. Green Bay can’t afford another loss, Aaron Rodgers is trying to prove why many consider him the best quarterback in the NFL and San Francisco has not much to play for after losing Garoppolo for the rest of the season.
I just can’t see a turnover-prone quarterback like C.J. Beathard keeping up with Aaron Rodgers, who will be facing one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Beathard has had at least one turnover in all eight games he’s thrown a pass and he’s had two or more in half of them.
NFL Pick: Packers -9.5 (-110)
Odds via Jazz Sports
Jake Walker runs OddsandNews.com. You can follow him on Twitter (@Walker_J23)