Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Denver Broncos Monday Night Football Preview

The red-hot Kansas City Chiefs look to stay undefeated when they clash with the Denver Broncos in an AFC West battle on Monday Night Football. Here’s a preview of the highly anticipated game:

Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes completed 24 of 38 passes for 314 yards and three touchdowns in a 38-27 win against the 49ers on Sunday. It was his first regular season start at Arrowhead Stadium and Mahomes now has 13 touchdowns and no interceptions in three games, a new NFL record for most touchdowns in the first three weeks of a season (Peyton Manning threw 12 touchdowns in the first three games in 2013). The Chiefs became the third team to score at least 38 points in each of the first three games of a season, joining the 2007 Patriots and the 1967 Colts.

Kareem Hunt finished with 44 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 18 carries in the win, Travis Kelce made eight catches for 114 receiving yards and Sammy Watkins had five receptions for 55 yards and one touchdown for a Chiefs team that was 7-for-11 on 3rd down efficiency.

The Chiefs are averaging 295.0 passing yards (7th in the NFL) and 103.3 rushing yards (15th). Kansas City ranks 1st with 39.3 points per game and 30th with 30.7 points against. Patrick Mahomes has passed for 896 yards, 13 touchdowns and no interceptions, Kareem Hunt has 168 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 52 carries and Tyreek Hill has 14 receptions for 310 yards and three touchdowns. Anthony Hitchens has 32 tackles and Justin Houston has two sacks.

Denver Broncos

The Broncos suffered their first loss of the season, 27-14 against the Ravens last Sunday. Case Keenum completed 22 of 34 passes for 192 yards and an interception in the setback while Royce Freeman ran for just 53 yards on 13 carries, although he scored a touchdown. Demaryius Thomas led the team with five receptions for 63 yards.

Denver had 120 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 24 carries and if they want to have a chance to beat this talented Kansas City team they need to run early and often and keep the ball out of Mahomes’ hands.

The Broncos are averaging 238.0 passing yards (16th in the NFL) and 144.7 rushing yards (3rd). Denver ranks 19th with 20.3 points per game and 16th with 23.3 points against. Case Keenum has passed for 743 yards, three touchdowns and five interceptions, Phillip Lindsay has 198 rushing yards and on 33 carries and Emmanuel Sanders has 19 catches for 269 yards and one touchdown. Todd Davis has 21 tackles and Von Miller has four sacks and 14 tackles.

NFL Trends:

The Kansas City Chiefs are:

7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall

6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win

6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win

12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games

20-7 ATS in their last 27 games against AFC West opponents

4-0 ATS in their last four road games against a team with a winning home record

The Denver Broncos are:

7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games overall

5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against AFC opponents

1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss

1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss

1-7 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game

0-4 ATS against a team with a winning record

0-5 ATS in their last five games against AFC West opponents


The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings between these two teams and Patrick Mahomes is playing like an MVP. I’ll keep backing the Chiefs until someone slows down their offense. Mahomes will have a chance to shine in the bright Monday night lights in front of a national television audience and the stage won’t intimidate him. I’ll ride this streak out with Kansas City and lay the points.

NFL Pick: Chiefs -4.5 (-110).

Odds via Jazz Sports.

Jake Walker runs OddsandNews.com. You can follow him on Twitter (@Walker_J23).

Six Fantasy Football Facts To Help Your Draft

Check out Tuesday’s six pack of NFL stats to help you dominate your fantasy football draft:

  1. Davante Adams has never surpassed 1,000 yards during a season in his career, though it’s he’s a good bet to reach that milestone this season. Aaron Rodgers has produced 10 1,000 yard receivers and with Adams being the top target (he saw 19.3% of Rodgers throws last year, most on the team), he’ll likely be the 11th.
  2. Alex Collins is a guy I’m targeting in both .5 ppr and standard scoring drafts. He was RB8 in standard scoring from weeks 8-17 and had six top-15 finishes during that stretch.
  3. Golden Tate has finished 24th or better during every campaign in Detroit and he’s an underrated target in standard scoring. He earned WR3 numbers or better is 61.5% of his starts (better than Adam Theilen, who’s going in the third/fourth round). Tate will also face the 13th easiest schedule for opposing WR. Pair Tate with a guy like Tyreke Hill if you’re going RB-RB with your first two picks.
  4. Emmanuel Sanders is an underrated asset in fantasy. He’s got the attention of new QB Case Keenum and he’s got a favorable playoff schedule with the Broncos facing the 49ers, Browns, and Raiders in weeks 14-16.
  5. The 49ers are facing the 12th easiest schedule for WRs and Pierre Garcon is a player getting overlooked. Garcon was on pace for 134 targets, 80 catches and over 1,000 receiving yards prior to his injury. And that was without Jimmy GQ. He’s currently the 37th WR taken in Yahoo! leagues and he provides incredible value late in the draft.
  6. Robbie Anderson gets all the fantasy football attention out of the Jets‘ WR corps, but I’d rather take a flyer on Jermaine Kearse with a full offseason in New York under his belt than select Anderson at his 9th round price. Factor in Anderson’s potential suspension and Kearse, who can be had during the last couple rounds of the draft, will be the easy choice at the position if I’m looking for a WR from the Jets. It’s worth noting that I’m not too worried about Kearse’s abdominal injury, as the risk with drafting him late is extremely low.

Preseason Week 3 Notes: Broncos, Peterson, Lions, Giants

The Broncos paid Case Keenum starter money to come in and create stability at the position and he looked exactly like the player they wanted during a half of work on Friday against the Redskins. He completed 12-of-18 passes for 148 yards, leading Denver to three scoring drives.

Keenum clearly has a favorite receiver, targeting Emmanuel Sanders eight times during the contest. Here is his target breakdown from the game:

Sanders caught four of the targets for 61 yards and he added a rushing touchdown. Thomas is going higher in drafts, but Sanders is the guy to own and provides tremendous value with an ESPN ADP OF 67, though he’s likely to rise over the next week.

Here’s more from the Broncos as well as other teams who took the field on Friday night:

  • Courtland Sutton looked the part of a pro, hauling in all three of his targets for 45 yards. He needs to be drafted for the upside.
  • Adrian Peterson looked spry during a half of action for the Redskins. This is now his job to lose and he should be taken in the 7th round in the Rex BurkheadIsaiah CrowellDuke Johnson Jr. range.
  • The Lions‘ offense struggled yet again with Matt Stafford completing 9-of-18 passes for 113 yards. His receivers dropped a few balls and no pass-catcher came away from the game with a good performance. Kenny Golladay and Golden Tate each had four targets, most on the team.
  • Evan Engram picked up where he left off last season, catching three of four targets before suffering a concussion.
  • Eli Manning had no Odell Beckham or Saquon Barkley to use, but he looked adequate, completing 17-of-23 for 188 yards. Sterling Shepard had 8 of those targets and while he’ll get less attention during the regular season with the stars back, I’d rather him over players like Jordy Nelson and Jamison Crowder among others.

Broncos Round Up: Chubb, Lynch, Kelly, Thomas

Bradley Chubb didn’t impress in the run game during his 15 plays in the first preseason game. His biggest weakness is shedding blockers as running lanes are opening up. On a few occasions, Chubb appeared to be unaware of where an opposing rusher was in the backfield as the play was developing.

The Broncos struggled as a team with stopping the run, so this isn’t only a Chubb problem. The rookie will be able to contribute immediately in pass rush situations, but the team is expecting him to be more than a situational pass-rusher once the regular season begins. While it was only one preseason game, it’s something to keep an eye on.

Denver Broncos William Hill  (AC) Bovada Bet Online
Win Total 7.5 7 7.5
Over -110 -170 +115
Under -110 +140 -135

Here are more news and notes out of Denver:

  • Former first-round pick Paxton Lynch has been demoted to third-string, Middlehurst-Schwartz of USA Today reports. Lynch had a horrible first preseason game, throwing for just 24 yards on 6-of-11 passing. Lynch also tossed an interception.
  • Chad Kelly, who completed 66% of his 21 passes for 177 yards in the team’s first preseason game, will take over as the backup QB.
  • Denver’s offensive line allowed 52 sacks last season and the team brought in Jared Veldheer to solidify the right tackle situation. Veldheer struggled at times last year in Arizona, but he became more inconsistent as the season progressed.
  • Demaryius Thomas has finished 16th or better in PPR leagues in each of the past six seasons. With Case Keenum in the fold, we should be able to expect him to make it a seventh straight year with that distinction.