NFL Week 5 Injury Updates

Dalvin Cook is not expected to play for the Vikings in week 5. Cook has battled hamstring woes all season and sources tell Ian Rapoport of NFL Network that it would take an impressive turnaround for him to be on the field.

Here’s a rundown of more updates on player injuries:

  • Tight end Hayden Hurst is expected to make his debut for Ravens against the Browns, according to Adam Schefter’s twitter feed.
  • Larry Fitzgerald, who is dealing with back and hamstring injuries, is expected to play for the Cardinals against the 49ers.
  • 49ers RB Matt Breida is expected to play in the game as well.
  • Aaron Rodgers is no longer on the injury report for the Packers.
  • Davante Adams remains listed as questionable with a calf injury and is expected to play. Randall Cobb is not expected to play in the contest against the Lions.
  • Marvin Jones is expected to suit up for the Lions.
  • Greg Olsen won’t play in week 5, though there’s a chance he suits up for the Panthers in week 6.

 

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12 NFL Trends To Note

We’ve hit the quarter-mark on the season and it’s time to look at some players that are trending in the right direction and some that are heading the wrong way:

  1. Nyheim Hines has played on 70.5% of the Colts offensive snaps during the past two games. Marlon Mack missed both of those contests and three out of four this season with injury woes.
  2. Hines is averaging 8.3 targets per game when Mack sits. Mack is also not expected to play on Thursday.
  3. Over the past two weeks, Eric Ebron has run the second-most routes of all tight ends. He saw 21 targets over that span and should be in all lineups at least until Jack Doyle returns to full health.
  4. Sony Michel accounted for 69.4% of the Patriots’ backfield carries on Sunday, producing 112 yards.
  5. Michel received nine red zone carries over the last two weeks, which is six more than the next highest back (James White).
  6. Kerryon Johnson continues to look good when he’s on the field, gaining 55 yards on nine carries against the Cowboys in week 4. He only saw 20 snaps, running just seven routes, seeing just one target. On the plus side, he handled on the Lions‘ only red zone carry.
  7. Larry Fitzgerald only made three catches during Josh Rosen‘s first start, though better times may be on the horizon. The future Hall-of-Famer recorded a team-high 26% target share from the rookie. Expect brighter days, especially with a soft schedule approaching.
  8. Nelson Agholor is nice buy-low candidate. Alshon Jeffery stole the receiving show for the Eagles in his first game back, but Agholor actually had more targets. Agholor is still running nearly 70% of his routes from the slot, averaging 8.5 targets per contest.
  9. Jordan Howard has seen his snap rate decline in each of the past three weeks, going from 72.7% to 62.2% to 54.1% from weeks 2-4. The Bears were up big in the first half thanks to Mitchell Trubisky’s miracle 6-TD game, though Howard only saw one carry.
  10. Melvin Gordon is averaging 8.4 targets per game and his increased use in the passing game (something he was already a big part of last season) makes him a top-five player in all fantasy formats.
  11. What is going on with Kenyan Drake? He was only on the field for 44.9% of Miami’s offensive snaps on Sunday and ran just one more route than Frank Gore. The Dolphins just lost starting center Daniel Kilgore for the season so the sledding won’t get any easier for Alabama product.
  12. In five games without Leonard Fournette in the lineup, Blake Bortles is averaging over 34 pass attempts per game, including 45 and 34 attempts in weeks 2 and 3, respectively.

NFC Fantasy Notes: 49ers, Bears, Seahawks, Lions

With half of the preseason over for every team in the NFC, let’s take a look at some fantasy-worthy notes:

  • Jimmy Garoppolo completed 10-of-12 passes for 136 yards in the 49ers‘ second preseason contest. Three of the targets went to Marquise Goodwin, including a 40-yard bomb. Goodwin has the potential to be a WR2. He’s the 35th WR off the board in average drafts. He’s severely underrated on NFL.com where he’s being taken on average as the 43rd WR.
  • If you’re playing on NFL.com, Pierre Garcon is a player to be cautious with. He’s going 28th among WR on NFL, but 35.0 overall across all sites.
  • Mitch Trubisky is going to let a lot of Bears fans down this season, but he’s going to make a lot of Trey Burton fantasy owners happy. Burton was targeted on six of the QB’s 14 attempts against the Broncos on Saturday, catching four for 45 yards and a touchdown. He’s in the TE1 conversation.
  • Nick Vannett received another end zone target for the Seahawks, a week after catching a TD pass. Russell Wilson & Company are going to have issues in the red zone this season, as they did on Saturday night. Vannett could be the guy to help them overcome their problem in that area.
  • The Lions‘ first-team offensive line struggled against the Giants. Matthew Stafford went 2-for-5 with three of his passes going toward Marvin Jones Jr.
  • Sam Bradford looked sharped against the Saints, as we relayed on Saturday in a piece that evaluated Arizona’s regular season win total. Relying on Bradford to get you through the season at QB isn’t wise, but if you’re looking for a low-cost DF option in week 1, he’s not a bad pick vs. Washington.

Cardinals Week 2 Preseason Recap

Sam Bradford looked healthy and sharp during the Cardinals’ second preseason contest, completing all six of his passes to six different targets. Arizona’s season largely depends on his health, but if he can remain upright, we’re looking at a team that can easily surpass their 5.5 win total.

Cardinals William Hill (AC) Bovada
Win Total 5.5 5.5
Over -170 -180
Under +150 +150

David Johnson had six carries for 22 yards and a touchdown. If you took him no. 1 overall in fantasy, no one would look at you that crookedly. He should be in for a monster season and potentially a historical one if Bradford can stay on the field and keep defenses honest.

Should Bradford go down, Josh Rosen may be able to keep the team in enough games to hit the six-win mark, though there’s a lot of risk baked into that 5.5 Vegas line.

Rosen had several really sharp drives, though it’s important to remember the competition. The Saints improved on defense last year which was partially a result of them staying healthy. They lack depth on that side of the ball, especially in the pass rush, so Rosen had a much easier time against these backups than he did against the Chargers’ deep roster last week.

Rosen and fellow rookie Christian Kirk had good chemistry. Kirk caught four balls. Kirk is worth a flyer in ppr leagues. Not in standard just yet.

Teams With No Chance To Win Super Bowl 53

It’s hard to say “there’s no chance” when it comes to sports, specifically the NFL where year-to-year parity reigns. The Action Network went through 10,000 simulations to find each teams chances at making the Super Bowl and winning it.

According to the site’s simulations, the following teams have a less than 0.1% (or nearly zero) chance at holding the Lombardi Trophy:

Oakland Raiders

  • Over/Under Win Total: 8
  • Super Bowl Odds: 35/1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Over/Under Win Total: 6.5
  • Super Bowl Odds: 80/1

Chicago Bears

  • Over/Under Win Total: 6.5
  • Super Bowl Odds: 80/1

Buffalo Bills

  • Over/Under Win Total: 6
  • Super Bowl Odds: 150/1

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Over/Under Win Total: 8
  • Super Bowl Odds: 100/1

Arizona Cardinals

  • Over/Under Win Total: 5.5
  • Super Bowl Odds: 150/1

Miami Dolphins

  • Over/Under Win Total: 6.5
  • Super Bowl Odds: 150/1

New York Jets

  • Over/Under Win Total: 6
  • Super Bowl Odds: 150/1

 

Odds via Bovada. Photo Courtesy of Corey Coleman’s Instagram (@CoreyColeman).